Kardashev / Type I Tracker
Obs. UTC v 0.4 · Sagan 1973
Civilisational Instrument · Live Reading

Tracking the road to
Kardashev Type I.

Visualizing the growth of our civilization through energy — from coal and steam to a planet running on the full power its star delivers.

Where we are
0.000 K value
0.000% of full Type I energy
— TW avg. planetary power
How fast we are moving
0.0% annual energy growth
10-yr trailing mean of global primary energy use
+~3,400 TWh added last year
When we arrive
———— projected Type I
— years at current growth
Constant-rate extrapolation; not a forecast
Sheet 02 · Energy Archive

Global primary energy, 1800 → today.

Log-scale capacity of human civilization, plotted from the steam age to the present. The dotted plane is a planetary engineering sheet — every decade of energy use sits on the same logarithmic skyline.

Y · log₁₀ watts (continuous) X · year, linear · 1800 ↦ 2026
SOURCE-A · Global primary energy, 1800–2024 (synthetic series, replaceable with OWID) SOURCE-B · New build additions (synthetic, replaceable with Ember / IEA) SOURCE-C · Forward pipeline (synthetic, replaceable with GEM / IEA Hub)
FORMULA · K = (log₁₀ P − 6) / 10  ·  Sagan (1973) TYPE I · PI = 10¹⁶ W  ·  Constant-rate ETA = log(PI/P)/log(1+g) UPDATED ·